Anything done before the first actual game is simply speculation and guessing. That includes the pre-season Probability Rankings I did on Stats Corner. There was no data other than last year, with the transfer portal does last year matter, and expectations. With teams having actually played some games and the conference slate really beginning this week, no offense Air Force and Utah State, this week on Stats Corner we are going to do a Probability Ranking based on the likelihood of making the conference title game. If you compare the probabilities to the pre-season ranking you will see that several games have flipped due to teams playing well, Fresno State and Wyoming, and other teams playing poorly, San Diego State and Nevada.
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